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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199512-199602

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
0
0
3
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
7
31
15
53
0
0
3
3
7
31
18
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
13
55
27
95
0
0
5
5
13
55
32
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.607
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.71 0.17
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: 0.411
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.144
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.411
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.115
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.585 0.167
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.070 0.119
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.167
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.415 0.000
samples: 3 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 5.36 %coverage: 100.00