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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199512-199602

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
1
6
0
5
1
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
7
26
17
50
0
5
1
6
7
31
18
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
83
17
100
0
83
17
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
13
46
30
89
0
9
2
11
13
55
32
100

hitrate: 0.167 hitrate: 0.482
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 6.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.61 0.33
Heidke skill score: -0.250 Heidke skill score: 0.223
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.099
Kuipers skill score: -0.250 Kuipers skill score: 0.223
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.081
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.167
threat score:
0.000 0.473 0.043
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.061 -0.044
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.839 0.056
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.833
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.480 0.833
samples: 6 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 10.71 %coverage: 100.00