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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199603-199605

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8
5
9
22
8
5
9
22

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
25
6
3
34
8
5
9
22
33
11
12
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
36
23
41
100
36
23
41
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
45
11
5
61
14
9
16
39
59
20
21
100

hitrate: 0.409 hitrate: 0.268
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 2.44
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.09 1.83
Heidke skill score: 0.114 Heidke skill score: -0.098
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.081
Kuipers skill score: 0.114 Kuipers skill score: -0.098
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.113
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.409
threat score:
0.000 0.154 0.360
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.021 0.211
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.545 0.750
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.591
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.824 0.591
samples: 22 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 39.29 %coverage: 100.00