CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199604-199606

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 1.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
5
2
7
2
5
2
9

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
16
15
17
48
0
5
2
7
17
20
19
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
11
0
0
11
11
0
0
11
0
56
22
78
22
56
22
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
29
27
30
86
0
9
4
13
30
36
34
100

hitrate: 0.333 hitrate: 0.321
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.50 0.20 3.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.06 2.40 0.37
Heidke skill score: 0.000 Heidke skill score: -0.018
true Heidke skill score: 0.100 true Heidke skill score: -0.050
Kuipers skill score: 0.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.018
true Kuipers skill score: 0.125 true Kuipers skill score: -0.049
threat score:
0.500 0.000 0.286
threat score:
0.059 0.283 0.083
equitable threat score:
0.438 -0.102 0.082
equitable threat score:
0.042 -0.060 -0.017
probability of detection:
0.500 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.059 0.750 0.105
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.714
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.688 0.714
samples: 9 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 16.07 %coverage: 100.00