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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199606-199608

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
7
6
17
4
7
6
17

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
10
12
17
39
4
7
6
17
14
19
23
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
24
41
35
100
24
41
35
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
18
21
30
70
7
13
11
30
25
34
41
100

hitrate: 0.353 hitrate: 0.321
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 2.83
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.05 0.74
Heidke skill score: 0.029 Heidke skill score: -0.018
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.062
Kuipers skill score: 0.029 Kuipers skill score: -0.018
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.060
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.353
threat score:
0.000 0.261 0.176
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.038 -0.036
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.632 0.261
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.647
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.692 0.647
samples: 17 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 30.36 %coverage: 100.00