CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199607-199609

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 1.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
5
9
6
20
7
10
6
23

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
15
11
10
36
5
9
6
20
20
20
16
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
9
4
0
13
22
39
26
87
30
43
26
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
27
20
18
64
9
16
11
36
36
36
29
100

hitrate: 0.304 hitrate: 0.304
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.30 3.33
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.80 1.25
Heidke skill score: -0.043 Heidke skill score: -0.045
true Heidke skill score: 0.029 true Heidke skill score: -0.042
Kuipers skill score: -0.043 Kuipers skill score: -0.045
true Kuipers skill score: 0.032 true Kuipers skill score: -0.042
threat score:
0.000 0.083 0.300
threat score:
0.000 0.244 0.200
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.028 0.053
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.058 0.012
probability of detection:
0.000 0.100 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.550 0.375
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.667 0.700
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.694 0.700
samples: 23 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 41.07 %coverage: 100.00