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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199607-199609

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
5
0
1
4
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
20
19
12
51
0
1
4
5
20
20
16
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
20
80
100
0
20
80
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
36
34
21
91
0
2
7
9
36
36
29
100

hitrate: 0.800 hitrate: 0.411
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.25
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.55 0.31
Heidke skill score: 0.700 Heidke skill score: 0.116
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.092
Kuipers skill score: 0.700 Kuipers skill score: 0.116
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.090
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.800
threat score:
0.000 0.365 0.235
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.023 0.165
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.950 0.250
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.200
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.627 0.200
samples: 5 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 8.93 %coverage: 100.00