CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199607-199609

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
5
1
1
4
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
19
19
12
50
0
1
4
5
20
20
16
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
17
0
0
17
0
0
0
0
0
17
67
83
17
17
67
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
34
34
21
89
0
2
7
9
36
36
29
100

hitrate: 0.833 hitrate: 0.429
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.00 0.00 1.25
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.05 2.50 0.31
Heidke skill score: 0.750 Heidke skill score: 0.143
true Heidke skill score: 0.600 true Heidke skill score: 0.120
Kuipers skill score: 0.750 Kuipers skill score: 0.143
true Kuipers skill score: 0.500 true Kuipers skill score: 0.117
threat score:
1.000 0.000 0.800
threat score:
0.050 0.373 0.235
equitable threat score:
1.000 0.000 0.400
equitable threat score:
0.033 0.034 0.165
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.050 0.950 0.250
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.200
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.620 0.200
samples: 6 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 10.71 %coverage: 100.00