CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199609-199611

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
4
0
2
2
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
38
12
2
52
0
2
2
4
38
14
4
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
100
0
50
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
68
21
4
93
0
4
4
7
68
25
7
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.250
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 2.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.71 1.00
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: -0.125
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.017
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: -0.125
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.027
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.500
threat score:
0.000 0.222 0.333
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.024 0.300
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.857 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.769 0.500
samples: 4 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 7.14 %coverage: 100.00