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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199609-199611

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
5
0
3
2
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
38
11
2
51
0
3
2
5
38
14
4
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
60
40
100
0
60
40
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
68
20
4
91
0
5
4
9
68
25
7
100

hitrate: 0.400 hitrate: 0.232
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 2.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.64 1.25
Heidke skill score: 0.100 Heidke skill score: -0.152
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.002
Kuipers skill score: 0.100 Kuipers skill score: -0.152
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.004
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.400
threat score:
0.000 0.204 0.286
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.042 0.247
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.786 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.600
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.784 0.600
samples: 5 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 8.93 %coverage: 100.00