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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199610-199612

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 1.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
5
5
0
0
6
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
19
19
13
51
0
0
5
5
19
19
18
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
17
17
0
0
83
83
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
34
34
23
91
0
0
9
9
34
34
32
100

hitrate: 0.833 hitrate: 0.429
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.83
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.68 0.28
Heidke skill score: 0.750 Heidke skill score: 0.143
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.137
Kuipers skill score: 0.750 Kuipers skill score: 0.143
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.136
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.833
threat score:
0.000 0.373 0.278
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.050 0.207
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.833
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.278
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.627 0.000
samples: 6 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 10.71 %coverage: 100.00