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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199610-199612

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
4
0
0
2
2
0
0
6
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
19
19
16
54
0
0
2
2
19
19
18
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
67
67
0
0
33
33
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
34
34
29
96
0
0
4
4
34
34
32
100

hitrate: 0.333 hitrate: 0.375
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.33
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.84 0.11
Heidke skill score: 0.000 Heidke skill score: 0.062
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.055
Kuipers skill score: 0.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.062
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.055
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.333
threat score:
0.000 0.352 0.111
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.019 0.078
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.333
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.111
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.648 0.000
samples: 6 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 10.71 %coverage: 100.00