CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199610-199612

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
4
0
0
1
1
0
0
5
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
19
19
17
55
0
0
1
1
19
19
18
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
80
80
0
0
20
20
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
34
34
30
98
0
0
2
2
34
34
32
100

hitrate: 0.200 hitrate: 0.357
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.20
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.89 0.06
Heidke skill score: -0.200 Heidke skill score: 0.036
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.027
Kuipers skill score: -0.200 Kuipers skill score: 0.036
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.027
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.200
threat score:
0.000 0.345 0.056
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.009 0.038
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.200
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.056
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.655 0.000
samples: 5 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 8.93 %coverage: 100.00