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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199611-199701

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
4
1
2
2
5
1
2
6
9

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
14
22
15
51
1
2
2
5
15
24
17
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
44
44
11
22
22
56
11
22
67
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
25
39
27
91
2
4
4
9
27
43
30
100

hitrate: 0.222 hitrate: 0.429
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.00 0.83
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.12 0.29
Heidke skill score: -0.167 Heidke skill score: 0.143
true Heidke skill score: -0.465 true Heidke skill score: 0.019
Kuipers skill score: -0.167 Kuipers skill score: 0.143
true Kuipers skill score: -0.500 true Kuipers skill score: 0.017
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.222
threat score:
0.000 0.415 0.100
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.174 -0.235
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.005 0.026
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.333
probability of detection:
0.000 0.917 0.118
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.600
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.569 0.600
samples: 9 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 16.07 %coverage: 100.00