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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199611-199701

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
3
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
3
3
15
24
14
53
0
0
0
0
15
24
17
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
75
75
0
0
25
25
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
5
5
27
43
25
95
0
0
0
0
27
43
30
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.429
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.20 2.21 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.143
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.015
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.143
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.013
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.453 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.047 0.042 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.547 0.000
samples: 4 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 7.14 %coverage: 100.00