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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199611-199701

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
5
0
0
5
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
15
24
12
51
0
0
5
5
15
24
17
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
27
43
21
91
0
0
9
9
27
43
30
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.518
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.12 0.29
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: 0.277
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.172
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.277
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.154
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.471 0.294
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.074 0.225
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.294
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.529 0.000
samples: 5 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 8.93 %coverage: 100.00