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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199612-199702

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
7
2
2
3
7

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
15
32
49
2
2
3
7
4
17
35
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
29
29
43
100
29
29
43
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
4
27
57
88
4
4
5
13
7
30
63
100

hitrate: 0.429 hitrate: 0.321
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 2.33
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.88 0.20
Heidke skill score: 0.143 Heidke skill score: -0.018
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.034
Kuipers skill score: 0.143 Kuipers skill score: -0.018
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.044
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.429
threat score:
0.000 0.294 0.077
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.003 -0.040
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.882 0.086
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.571
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.694 0.571
samples: 7 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 12.50 %coverage: 100.00