CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199701-199703

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 1.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
10
24
34
0
11
24
35

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
0
10
11
21
0
10
24
34
0
21
35
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
3
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
29
69
97
0
31
69
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
0
2
0
18
20
38
0
18
43
61
0
38
63
100

hitrate: 0.686 hitrate: 0.607
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.42
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 1.00 0.97
Heidke skill score: 0.529 Heidke skill score: 0.411
true Heidke skill score: 0.059 true Heidke skill score: 0.181
Kuipers skill score: 0.529 Kuipers skill score: 0.411
true Kuipers skill score: 0.045 true Kuipers skill score: 0.186
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.706
threat score:
0.000 0.312 0.533
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.064
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.088 0.116
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.476 0.686
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.294
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.524 0.294
samples: 35 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 62.50 %coverage: 100.00