CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199702-199704

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
6
1
7
1
3
8
12
1
9
9
19

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
7
20
17
44
1
3
8
12
8
23
25
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
32
5
37
5
16
42
63
5
47
47
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
13
36
30
79
2
5
14
21
14
41
45
100

hitrate: 0.737 hitrate: 0.500
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.78 1.33
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.91 0.48
Heidke skill score: 0.605 Heidke skill score: 0.250
true Heidke skill score: 0.500 true Heidke skill score: 0.140
Kuipers skill score: 0.605 Kuipers skill score: 0.250
true Kuipers skill score: 0.480 true Kuipers skill score: 0.133
threat score:
0.000 0.600 0.615
threat score:
0.000 0.426 0.276
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.402 0.317
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.067 0.112
probability of detection:
0.000 0.667 0.889
probability of detection:
0.000 0.870 0.320
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.143 0.333
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.545 0.333
samples: 19 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 33.93 %coverage: 100.00