CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199706-199708

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
5
4
16
7
5
4
16

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
18
17
5
40
7
5
4
16
25
22
9
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
44
31
25
100
44
31
25
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
32
30
9
71
13
9
7
29
45
39
16
100

hitrate: 0.250 hitrate: 0.375
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 4.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.82 1.78
Heidke skill score: -0.125 Heidke skill score: 0.062
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.072
Kuipers skill score: -0.125 Kuipers skill score: 0.062
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.078
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.250
threat score:
0.000 0.378 0.190
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.044 0.078
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.773 0.444
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.750
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.575 0.750
samples: 16 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 28.57 %coverage: 100.00