CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199708-199710

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
11
12
0
1
11
12

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
8
23
13
44
0
1
11
12
8
24
24
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8
92
100
0
8
92
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
14
41
23
79
0
2
20
21
14
43
43
100

hitrate: 0.917 hitrate: 0.607
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.09
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.83 0.50
Heidke skill score: 0.875 Heidke skill score: 0.411
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.313
Kuipers skill score: 0.875 Kuipers skill score: 0.411
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.292
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.917
threat score:
0.000 0.511 0.440
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.158 0.295
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.958 0.458
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.083
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.477 0.083
samples: 12 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 21.43 %coverage: 100.00