CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199710-199712

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
3
5
2
3
3
8

contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
19
17
13
49
0
2
3
5
21
19
16
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
25
0
0
25
0
13
0
13
0
25
38
63
25
38
38
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
4
0
0
4
34
30
23
88
0
4
5
9
38
34
29
100

hitrate: 0.750 hitrate: 0.393
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.00 0.33 1.67
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.10 2.58 0.31
Heidke skill score: 0.625 Heidke skill score: 0.089
true Heidke skill score: 0.619 true Heidke skill score: 0.086
Kuipers skill score: 0.625 Kuipers skill score: 0.089
true Kuipers skill score: 0.619 true Kuipers skill score: 0.086
threat score:
1.000 0.333 0.600
threat score:
0.095 0.333 0.167
equitable threat score:
1.000 0.238 0.360
equitable threat score:
0.062 0.011 0.095
probability of detection:
1.000 0.333 1.000
probability of detection:
0.095 0.895 0.188
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.400
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.653 0.400
samples: 8 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 14.29 %coverage: 100.00