CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199710-199712

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
2
4
1
3
2
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
21
17
14
52
0
2
2
4
21
19
16
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
17
17
0
33
0
33
33
67
17
50
33
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
38
30
25
93
0
4
4
7
38
34
29
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.339
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.67 2.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.74 0.25
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: 0.009
true Heidke skill score: 0.182 true Heidke skill score: 0.006
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: 0.009
true Kuipers skill score: 0.182 true Kuipers skill score: 0.006
threat score:
0.000 0.250 0.500
threat score:
0.000 0.315 0.111
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.250
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.018 0.051
probability of detection:
0.000 0.333 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.895 0.125
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.500 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.673 0.500
samples: 6 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 10.71 %coverage: 100.00