CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199711-199801

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
4
4
0
0
5
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
23
28
52
0
0
4
4
1
23
32
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
20
20
0
0
80
80
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
41
50
93
0
0
7
7
2
41
57
100

hitrate: 0.800 hitrate: 0.482
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.80
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.26 0.12
Heidke skill score: 0.700 Heidke skill score: 0.223
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.104
Kuipers skill score: 0.700 Kuipers skill score: 0.223
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.119
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.800
threat score:
0.000 0.442 0.125
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.054 0.058
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.800
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.125
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.558 0.000
samples: 5 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 8.93 %coverage: 100.00