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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199712-199802

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 1.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
7
8
0
1
7
8

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
6
41
48
0
1
7
8
1
7
48
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
13
88
100
0
13
88
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
11
73
86
0
2
13
14
2
13
86
100

hitrate: 0.875 hitrate: 0.232
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.14
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 6.86 0.17
Heidke skill score: 0.812 Heidke skill score: -0.152
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.003
Kuipers skill score: 0.812 Kuipers skill score: -0.152
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.010
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.875
threat score:
0.000 0.122 0.143
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.003
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.857 0.146
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.125
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.875 0.125
samples: 8 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 14.29 %coverage: 100.00