CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199712-199802

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
5
0
1
4
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
6
44
51
0
1
4
5
1
7
48
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
20
80
100
0
20
80
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
11
79
91
0
2
7
9
2
13
86
100

hitrate: 0.800 hitrate: 0.179
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.25
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 7.29 0.10
Heidke skill score: 0.700 Heidke skill score: -0.232
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.015
Kuipers skill score: 0.700 Kuipers skill score: -0.232
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.047
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.800
threat score:
0.000 0.115 0.082
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.008 -0.006
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.857 0.083
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.200
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.882 0.200
samples: 5 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 8.93 %coverage: 100.00