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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199712-199802

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
3
5
1
5
45
51
0
0
0
0
1
7
48
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
40
60
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
40
60
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
4
5
9
2
9
80
91
0
0
0
0
2
13
86
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.089
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
5.00 7.29 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.366
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.030
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.366
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.105
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.094 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.015 -0.029 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.714 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.902 0.000
samples: 5 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 8.93 %coverage: 100.00