CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199802-199804

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
1
8
13
4
1
8
13

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
7
17
19
43
4
1
8
13
11
18
27
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
31
8
62
100
31
8
62
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
13
30
34
77
7
2
14
23
20
32
48
100

hitrate: 0.615 hitrate: 0.446
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 1.62
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.39 0.48
Heidke skill score: 0.423 Heidke skill score: 0.170
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.137
Kuipers skill score: 0.423 Kuipers skill score: 0.170
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.140
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.615
threat score:
0.000 0.386 0.250
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.105 0.067
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.944 0.296
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.385
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.605 0.385
samples: 13 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 23.21 %coverage: 100.00