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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199807-199809

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
20
21
0
1
20
21

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
2
32
34
0
1
20
21
0
3
52
55

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
95
100
0
5
95
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
4
58
62
0
2
36
38
0
5
95
100

hitrate: 0.952 hitrate: 0.400
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.05
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 11.33 0.40
Heidke skill score: 0.929 Heidke skill score: 0.100
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.009
Kuipers skill score: 0.929 Kuipers skill score: 0.100
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.051
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.952
threat score:
0.000 0.057 0.377
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.004 0.004
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.667 0.385
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.048
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.941 0.048
samples: 21 out of 55 samples: 55 out of 55
%coverage: 38.18 %coverage: 100.00