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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199807-199809

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
6
0
1
5
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
2
47
49
0
1
5
6
0
3
52
55

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
17
83
100
0
17
83
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
4
85
89
0
2
9
11
0
5
95
100

hitrate: 0.833 hitrate: 0.127
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.20
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 16.33 0.12
Heidke skill score: 0.750 Heidke skill score: -0.309
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.029
Kuipers skill score: 0.750 Kuipers skill score: -0.309
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.237
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.833
threat score:
0.000 0.040 0.094
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.014 -0.014
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.667 0.096
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.167
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.959 0.167
samples: 6 out of 55 samples: 55 out of 55
%coverage: 10.91 %coverage: 100.00