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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199808-199810

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
8
10
0
2
8
10

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
4
41
45
0
2
8
10
0
6
49
55

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
20
80
100
0
20
80
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
7
75
82
0
4
15
18
0
11
89
100

hitrate: 0.800 hitrate: 0.218
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.25
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 7.50 0.20
Heidke skill score: 0.700 Heidke skill score: -0.173
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.044
Kuipers skill score: 0.700 Kuipers skill score: -0.173
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.170
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.800
threat score:
0.000 0.085 0.157
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.022 -0.022
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.667 0.163
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.200
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.911 0.200
samples: 10 out of 55 samples: 55 out of 55
%coverage: 18.18 %coverage: 100.00