CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199808-199810

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
10
13
0
3
11
14

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
3
39
42
0
3
10
13
0
6
49
55

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
7
0
21
71
93
0
21
79
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
5
71
76
0
5
18
24
0
11
89
100

hitrate: 0.714 hitrate: 0.236
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.33 1.18
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 7.00 0.27
Heidke skill score: 0.571 Heidke skill score: -0.145
true Heidke skill score: -0.120 true Heidke skill score: -0.081
Kuipers skill score: 0.571 Kuipers skill score: -0.145
true Kuipers skill score: -0.091 true Kuipers skill score: -0.296
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.714
threat score:
0.000 0.067 0.192
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.057 -0.057
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.039 -0.039
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.909
probability of detection:
0.000 0.500 0.204
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.231
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.929 0.231
samples: 14 out of 55 samples: 55 out of 55
%coverage: 25.45 %coverage: 100.00