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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199808-199810

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
9
11
0
2
9
11

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
4
40
44
0
2
9
11
0
6
49
55

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
18
82
100
0
18
82
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
7
73
80
0
4
16
20
0
11
89
100

hitrate: 0.818 hitrate: 0.236
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.22
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 7.33 0.22
Heidke skill score: 0.727 Heidke skill score: -0.145
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.040
Kuipers skill score: 0.727 Kuipers skill score: -0.145
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.150
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.818
threat score:
0.000 0.087 0.176
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.019 -0.019
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.667 0.184
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.182
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.909 0.182
samples: 11 out of 55 samples: 55 out of 55
%coverage: 20.00 %coverage: 100.00