CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199809-199811

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
7
54
62
0
0
1
1
1
7
55
63

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
11
86
98
0
0
2
2
2
11
87
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.127
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 8.86 0.02
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.310
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.004
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.310
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.017
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.113 0.018
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.002 0.002
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.018
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.887 0.000
samples: 1 out of 63 samples: 63 out of 63
%coverage: 1.59 %coverage: 100.00