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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199811-199901

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
0
0
3
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
2
55
59
0
0
3
3
2
2
58
62

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
3
3
89
95
0
0
5
5
3
3
94
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.081
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 29.50 0.05
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.379
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.005
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.379
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.038
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.034 0.052
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.002 0.004
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.052
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.966 0.000
samples: 3 out of 62 samples: 62 out of 62
%coverage: 4.84 %coverage: 100.00