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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199811-199901

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 1.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
2
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
2
56
60
0
0
2
2
2
2
58
62

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
3
3
90
97
0
0
3
3
3
3
94
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.065
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 30.00 0.03
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.403
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.003
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.403
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.025
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.033 0.034
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.001 0.002
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.034
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.967 0.000
samples: 2 out of 62 samples: 62 out of 62
%coverage: 3.23 %coverage: 100.00