CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199811-199901

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
4
1
2
1
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
0
49
51
1
2
1
4
3
2
50
55

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
25
50
25
100
25
50
25
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
4
0
89
93
2
4
2
7
5
4
91
100

hitrate: 0.250 hitrate: 0.018
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 4.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 25.50 0.08
Heidke skill score: -0.125 Heidke skill score: -0.473
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.091
Kuipers skill score: -0.125 Kuipers skill score: -0.473
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.482
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.250
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.019
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.036 -0.053
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.020
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.750
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.750
samples: 4 out of 55 samples: 55 out of 55
%coverage: 7.27 %coverage: 100.00