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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199812-199902

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
3
57
62
0
0
0
0
2
3
57
62

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
3
5
92
100
0
0
0
0
3
5
92
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.048
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 20.67 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.427
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.000
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.427
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.048 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.952 0.000
samples: 5 out of 62 samples: 62 out of 62
%coverage: 8.06 %coverage: 100.00