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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199812-199902

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 1.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
4
4
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
4
4
2
3
53
58
0
0
0
0
2
3
57
62

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
80
80
0
0
20
20
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
6
6
3
5
85
94
0
0
0
0
3
5
92
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.048
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
2.00 19.33 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.427
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.001
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.427
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.007
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.052 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.022 0.004 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.948 0.000
samples: 5 out of 62 samples: 62 out of 62
%coverage: 8.06 %coverage: 100.00