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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199812-199902

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
2
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
3
4
46
53
0
0
2
2
3
4
48
55

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
5
7
84
96
0
0
4
4
5
7
87
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.109
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 13.25 0.04
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.336
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.008
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.336
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.032
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.075 0.042
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.003 0.006
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.042
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.925 0.000
samples: 2 out of 55 samples: 55 out of 55
%coverage: 3.64 %coverage: 100.00