CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199901-199903

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
3
3
2
8
42
52
0
0
0
0
2
8
45
55

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
100
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
5
5
4
15
76
95
0
0
0
0
4
15
82
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.145
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.50 6.50 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.282
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.007
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.282
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.019
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.154 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.022 0.010 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.846 0.000
samples: 3 out of 55 samples: 55 out of 55
%coverage: 5.45 %coverage: 100.00