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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199902-199904

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
5
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
5
5
7
8
36
51
0
0
0
0
7
8
41
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
100
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
9
9
13
14
64
91
0
0
0
0
13
14
73
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.143
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.71 6.37 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.286
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.002
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.286
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.004
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.157 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.055 0.016 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.843 0.000
samples: 5 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 8.93 %coverage: 100.00