CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199903-199905

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
2
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
2
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
2
4
14
18
19
51
1
0
0
1
15
20
21
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
40
40
80
0
0
0
0
20
0
0
20
20
40
40
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
4
4
7
25
32
34
91
2
0
0
2
27
36
38
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.321
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
4.00 0.00 0.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.27 2.55 0.05
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.018
true Heidke skill score: -0.316 true Heidke skill score: -0.046
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.018
true Kuipers skill score: -0.375 true Kuipers skill score: -0.045
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.340 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.190 0.000 -0.154
equitable threat score:
-0.060 -0.006 -0.017
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.900 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.647 1.000
samples: 5 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 8.93 %coverage: 100.00