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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199905-199907

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
1
7
2
4
1
7

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
19
15
23
57
2
4
1
7
21
19
24
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
29
57
14
100
29
57
14
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
30
23
36
89
3
6
2
11
33
30
38
100

hitrate: 0.143 hitrate: 0.250
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 7.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.00 0.29
Heidke skill score: -0.286 Heidke skill score: -0.125
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.080
Kuipers skill score: -0.286 Kuipers skill score: -0.125
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.084
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.143
threat score:
0.000 0.246 0.033
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.044 -0.059
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.789 0.042
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.857
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.737 0.857
samples: 7 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 10.94 %coverage: 100.00