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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199905-199907

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
3
0
3
0
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
21
16
24
61
0
3
0
3
21
19
24
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
100
0
100
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
33
25
38
95
0
5
0
5
33
30
38
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.250
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.21 0.12
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.125
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.072
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.125
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.076
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.250 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.046 -0.043
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.842 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.738 1.000
samples: 3 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 4.69 %coverage: 100.00