CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199906-199908

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
4
8
12
0
1
2
3
1
1
1
3
1
6
11
18

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
4
8
12
13
18
18
49
1
1
1
3
14
23
27
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
22
44
67
0
6
11
17
6
6
6
17
6
33
61
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
6
13
19
20
28
28
77
2
2
2
5
22
36
42
100

hitrate: 0.111 hitrate: 0.297
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
12.00 0.50 0.27
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.86 2.13 0.11
Heidke skill score: -0.333 Heidke skill score: -0.055
true Heidke skill score: -0.103 true Heidke skill score: -0.059
Kuipers skill score: -0.333 Kuipers skill score: -0.055
true Kuipers skill score: -0.163 true Kuipers skill score: -0.061
threat score:
0.000 0.125 0.077
threat score:
0.000 0.333 0.034
equitable threat score:
-0.054 0.000 -0.075
equitable threat score:
-0.112 0.011 -0.010
probability of detection:
0.000 0.167 0.091
probability of detection:
0.000 0.783 0.037
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.667 0.667
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.633 0.667
samples: 18 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 28.12 %coverage: 100.00