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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199907-199909

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
3
0
5
0
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
0
2
12
27
20
59
0
3
0
3
12
32
20
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
40
0
40
0
0
0
0
0
60
0
60
0
100
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
3
0
3
19
42
31
92
0
5
0
5
19
50
31
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.422
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.17 1.84 0.15
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.133
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.115
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.133
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.097
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.422 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.028 -0.072 -0.042
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.844 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.542 1.000
samples: 5 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 7.81 %coverage: 100.00