CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199907-199909

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
3
0
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
4
1
6
0
7

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
3
0
3
11
26
20
57
1
3
0
4
12
32
20
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
43
0
43
0
0
0
0
14
43
0
57
14
86
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
5
0
5
17
41
31
89
2
5
0
6
19
50
31
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.406
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
3.00 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.25 1.78 0.20
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.109
true Heidke skill score: -0.065 true Heidke skill score: -0.128
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.109
true Kuipers skill score: -0.250 true Kuipers skill score: -0.109
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.413 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.120 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.039 -0.072 -0.055
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.812 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.544 1.000
samples: 7 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 10.94 %coverage: 100.00