CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199909-199911

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
4
0
1
3
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
4
24
74
102
0
1
3
4
4
25
77
106

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
25
75
100
0
25
75
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
4
23
70
96
0
1
3
4
4
24
73
100

hitrate: 0.750 hitrate: 0.255
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.33
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.08 0.05
Heidke skill score: 0.625 Heidke skill score: -0.118
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.000
Kuipers skill score: 0.625 Kuipers skill score: -0.118
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.001
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.750
threat score:
0.000 0.233 0.038
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.001 0.001
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.960 0.039
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.250
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.765 0.250
samples: 4 out of 106 samples: 106 out of 106
%coverage: 3.77 %coverage: 100.00