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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199909-199911

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
2
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
3
14
45
62
0
0
2
2
3
14
47
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
5
22
70
97
0
0
3
3
5
22
73
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.250
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.43 0.04
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.125
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.020
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.125
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.037
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.226 0.043
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.009 0.012
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.043
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.774 0.000
samples: 2 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 3.12 %coverage: 100.00